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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.fundBreakTheBanke46m3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (310–15, n=325)17% (156–789, n=945)
Consensus PnL$1.7K$8.4M$536K
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)84% (32 of 38 open)73% (320 of 441 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won75% of 52 at avg 66¢, ROI +3%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 10)10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2197)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 83% of 6)36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 53% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 100% of 205)9% (won 71% of 531)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 94% of 31)20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2679)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market328.400.fundBreakTheBanke46m3
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $19
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $12
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
No $156—No $7
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $29