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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 6512395314597884 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1675–1561, n=3236) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $11.0M | -$352K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #474 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 87% (143 of 165 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 10% of 471) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 41% of 615) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 71% of 722) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 90% of 436) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 6512395314597884 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko | Luka Pavlovic $2.8K | — | Alexander Shevchenko $2.3K | — |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.6K | Under $129 |
| Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | James Kent Trotter $1.0K | — | — | Ozan Baris $3 |
| Bears vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Bears $750 | Bears $15K | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Eero Vasa $2.0K | — | — | Eero Vasa $4.3K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $707 | — | — | 76ers $919 |