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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 6512395314597884 | RN1 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1675–1561, n=3236) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $14.8M | $5.8M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #474 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 10% of 471) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 41% of 615) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 71% of 722) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 90% of 436) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 6512395314597884 | RN1 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | James Kent Trotter $1.0K | Ozan Baris $3 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Eero Vasa $2.0K | Eero Vasa $4.3K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $707 | 76ers $919 | — | — |