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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
88Msurfandturfjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)43% (840–1128, n=1968)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$125K$4.1M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #629was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=12NFL −11 pts, n=58—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won55% of 1450 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 18% of 381)20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 58% of 526)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 77% of 440)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 103)26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market88Msurfandturfjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.7K—Yes $6.4K