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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiiime | BreakTheBank | CORGII | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (47–40, n=87) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $67K | $11.1M | $194K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #395 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (5 of 13 open) | 39% (39 of 99 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 87 at avg 48¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 13% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 55% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 56% (won 59% of 49) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiiime | BreakTheBank | CORGII | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pelicans $5.2K | Grizzlies $44K | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Pacers $657 | Hawks $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Thunder $16K | Thunder $536K | — | — |