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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiiime | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (7–5, n=12) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4K | $14.8M | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #395 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 11 at avg 45¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 55% (won 50% of 6) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 50% of 4) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiiime | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $5.2K | 76ers $228 | — |