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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (339–73, n=412) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | -$572K | $7.3M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #415 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 752 at avg 81¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 106) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 575) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | — | No $337K |