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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BillBenter202600gringo00sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (6155–3387, n=9542)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL$42K$3.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position38% (5 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=156———
Settled positions, side won87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 23% of 204)0%0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 45% of 399)0%50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 1142)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 2799)0%0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBillBenter202600gringo00sainttroplayRN1
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Masamichi Imamura
Yanki Erel $63——Yanki Erel $1.0K