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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bozos14 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (142–148, n=290) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $4.1M | $3.3M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #724 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 72% (83 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 66) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 4) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bozos14 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $10K | Clippers $794 | — | — |