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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Fvalp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 64% (73–41, n=114) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $169K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #238 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (51 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 90 at avg 69¢, ROI +16% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 75% of 4) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 30% (won 78% of 27) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 52% (won 94% of 47) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Fvalp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K |