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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Fvalp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 64% (73–41, n=114) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $169K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #239 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 58% (45 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 90 at avg 69¢, ROI +16% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 75% of 4) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 30% (won 78% of 27) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 52% (won 94% of 47) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Fvalp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | — | Jaguars $8.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | — | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $180 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.0K | — | — | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | — | Ravens $636 |