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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)31% (547–1218, n=1765)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$103K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #976PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus89% (33 of 37 open)69% (24 of 35 open)no open consensus position73% (111 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—48% (won 19% of 433)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—12% (won 51% of 110)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—13% (won 76% of 119)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—26% (won 94% of 234)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K——No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K——Yes $11K