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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lastminwin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 54% (14–12, n=26) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $3.2M | $282K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #93 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (40 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 33% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lastminwin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73K | — | No $15K |