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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pagliacci4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 96% (1650–75, n=1725) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.6M | $11K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #959 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (40 of 54 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 96% (23 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pagliacci4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |