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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pagliacci4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 96% (1650–75, n=1725) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.6M | $11K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #959 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (42 of 58 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 96% (24 of 25 open) | 54% (21 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | — | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | — | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | — | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | — | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pagliacci4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $230K | — | — | Eagles $5.6K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $208K | — | — | Over $6.8K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $68K | — | — | Eagles $131 |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $11K | — | — | Eagles $3.4K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | No $346K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $101K | — | — | Colts $94 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $49K | — | — | Colts $5.7K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | — | Lions $1.8K | Lions $47K |