Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankrayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)87% (2315–349, n=2664)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)53% (34 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)2% (won 95% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)32% (won 98% of 321)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)51% (won 98% of 507)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)14% (won 98% of 138)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankrayvanmechelen
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.7KWizards $10