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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 87% (2315–349, n=2664) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 66% (309 of 465 open) | 67% (50 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 2% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 32% (won 98% of 318) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 51% (won 98% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 14% (won 98% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $115K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $169 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $10K | Thiago Agustin Tirante $2 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.5K | Mika Brunold $10 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | No $390 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $595 | Kings $9 |
| Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $372 | Over $8 |
| Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panathinaikos | — | Panathinaikos $333 | Real Madrid $2 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $167 | Over $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios | — | Tomas Barrios $127 | Lautaro Midon $10 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $100 | Under $3 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $44 | Over $10 |
| Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks opposite sides · consensus Longwood Lancers | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $18 | Longwood Lancers $5 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | Under $10 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $40K | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $327K | — | No $11 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $23K | — |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Under $9 |
| Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker | — | Nicolas Kicker $11K | Nicolas Kicker $10 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $6.2K | Celtics $215 | — |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.7K | Over $972 |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | — | Laura Samson $2.2K | Laura Samson $10 |
| Will Al Nahda win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | No $7 |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic same side · consensus Jerome Kym | — | Jerome Kym $1.7K | Jerome Kym $9 |
| Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Harrison/Skupski same side · consensus Harrison/Skupski | — | Harrison/Skupski $1.6K | Harrison/Skupski $9 |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | Over $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Gonzalo Bueno $10 |
| Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | — | Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K | Joaquin Aguilar $4 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | No $1 |
| Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | Tom Gentzsch $902 | Tom Gentzsch $28 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $865 | No $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | Sydney FC $670 | Sydney FC $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $519 | Over $10 |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $468 | No $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | Cavaliers $8 |
| FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $296 | Over $3 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | Pacers $10 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | Under $7 |
| Will SC Recife win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $160 | No $9 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | Under $10 |
| Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $24 | No $4 |