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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BrotherObama | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $421K | $261K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 68% (66 of 97 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 75% of 4) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BrotherObama | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Warriors $15K | — | Rockets $30K | — |