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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBacksainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$74K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus89% (17 of 19 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBacksainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $184K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6K—Magic $51K