Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CosplayGaoJinFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (80–106, n=186)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1100–635, n=1735)
Consensus PnL$145K$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #778PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (106 of 161 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +14 pts n=41, ROI +25%
  • NBA +4 pts n=100, ROI +17%
  • Crypto +11 pts n=14, ROI −5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=14NFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won46% of 175 at avg 41¢, ROI +15%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 21% of 38)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 53% of 68)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 52% of 64)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 80% of 5)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.