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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DG-NORN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118800gringo00
Record (consensus markets)39% (680–1044, n=1724)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)46% (131–154, n=285)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$4.2K$14.8M-$6.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #312PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus72% (21 of 29 open)58% (29 of 50 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=135—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won23% of 1611 at avg 23¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 5% of 1098)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 50)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)0%
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 61% of 294)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 76% of 169)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.