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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Debosnys | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (1288–124, n=1412) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 72% (77 of 107 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Weather −7 pts, n=43 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 1856 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 32% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 98% of 1685) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Debosnys | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $132 | No $252K | — |