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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Dreamwire | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2690–432, n=3122) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (79 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=76 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 319) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 130) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 66% of 152) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 1919) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dreamwire | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $22 | — | Over $1.2K |
| IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $410 | — | Over $4 |