Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)63% (97–57, n=154)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL-$6.5K$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #816PM monthly #17PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)64% (151 of 237 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 92% of 25)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 96% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02Flaznorpndb1
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.5KUnder $3.3K—