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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)63% (97–57, n=154)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$6.0K$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #806PM monthly #21PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)100% (2 of 2 open)61% (213 of 347 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 77 at avg 74¢, ROI +18%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)31% (won 92% of 24)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)60% (won 96% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02Flaznorpndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $3.3K—Rinky Hijikata $16K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.8KUnder $2.9K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K—Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $9.5K—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $727—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $40—