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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunterjoseph006770x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)50% (10–10, n=20)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$271K$5.3M$19.0M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #2was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)6% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)65% (won 73% of 11)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)18% (won 67% of 3)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunterjoseph006770x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Bratislava 2: Max Houkes vs Michael Vrbensky
opposite sides · consensus Max Houkes
Michael Vrbensky $6——Max Houkes $6.0K