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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EulhuntersurfandturfRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)54% (700–598, n=1298)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$278K-$77K$14.8M-$352K
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)no open consensus position57% (27 of 47 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhuntersurfandturfRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata
opposite sides · consensus Ryo Tabata
Santiago De la Fuente $15—Ryo Tabata $4.4K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniel Merida Aguilar $1.3K—Sebastian Baez $77—
Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu
opposite sides · consensus Eero Vasa
Eero Vasa $54—Vadym Ursu $10—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $1.8K—Casper Ruud $34K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $862—Cameron Norrie $10K—