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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FinHealRN1CORGIIndb1
Record (consensus markets)60% (1058–705, n=1763)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$3.9K$14.8M$194K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)56% (27 of 48 open)no open consensus position68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −5 pts, n=189——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won52% of 1429 at avg 54¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 5% of 506)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 33% of 126)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 56% of 163)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 92% of 634)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.