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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGodRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)74% (426–151, n=577)40% (2–3, n=5)69% (305–140, n=445)59% (10–7, n=17)
Consensus PnL$46K-$9.5K-$54K$240K
Tracked asPM monthly #20was PM monthly #760PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (57 of 87 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (3 of 6 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)—1% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)—26% (won 100% of 62)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)—40% (won 100% of 95)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)—33% (won 100% of 80)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGodRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $8.0K—Lorenzo Sonego $40K—
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert $55—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685—
Monastir: Kasra Rahmani vs Alejandro Moro Canas
same side · consensus Alejandro Moro Canas
Kasra Rahmani $26—Kasra Rahmani $97—