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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGetsOnBasendb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (3–0, n=3)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$80K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #211PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus71% (120 of 169 open)100% (2 of 2 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGetsOnBasendb1
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13KCF Universidad de Chile $18K—