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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | Malfunction. | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6461–6057, n=12518) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 98% (12061–294, n=12355) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $5.3M | $645K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #265 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (126 of 181 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 72% (52 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 96% of 11549 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 2% (won 18% of 235) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 48% of 223) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 2% (won 56% of 177) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 95% (won 99% of 10914) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.