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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Michael-The-Taxiarchndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)57% (55–41, n=96)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$31K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #541PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus75% (173 of 231 open)no open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)68% (106 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)45% (won 7% of 44)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 50% of 12)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)10% (won 70% of 10)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 97% of 32)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.