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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677metski29ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)43% (10–13, n=23)45% (373–454, n=827)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M-$174K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #876PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus76% (258 of 340 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NHL −4 pts, n=28NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%67% of 569 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)0%13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 58% of 112)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)78% (won 69% of 441)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)3% (won 88% of 16)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677metski29ndb1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——No $41