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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677mildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)45% (10–12, n=22)36% (5202–9296, n=14498)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M-$150K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #331
Sides with the consensus72% (188 of 262 open)no open consensus position69% (881 of 1284 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Weather −4 pts, n=1229
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)54% (won 1% of 2673)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 43% of 124)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 55% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)40% (won 96% of 1974)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.