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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkjhgkltivtvriurndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)64% (7–4, n=11)63% (1101–635, n=1736)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$102K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #404PM monthly #109PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus69% (98 of 143 open)no open consensus position70% (68 of 97 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 6 at avg 63¢, ROI +35%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)17% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)0%18% (won 40% of 283)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)17% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 58% of 348)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)67% (won 100% of 4)46% (won 94% of 710)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.