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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1S-Worksuehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)75% (2552–856, n=3408)42% (121–168, n=289)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.6M$3.6M$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #67PM monthly #577
Sides with the consensus64% (105 of 163 open)71% (67 of 95 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −1 pts, n=46Soccer −4 pts, n=243
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%40% of 247 at avg 43¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 14% of 145)49% (won 5% of 122)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)16% (won 48% of 367)11% (won 21% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)23% (won 60% of 509)4% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)55% (won 96% of 1235)35% (won 91% of 87)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.