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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)61% (4133–2658, n=6791)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$721K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #618
Sides with the consensus76% (85 of 112 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 18% of 93)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 44% of 2311)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)40% (won 55% of 3625)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 87% of 3019)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.