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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPL00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)51% (650–615, n=1265)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$3.5M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 148 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won81% of 445 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)0%10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)0%36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 82)0%19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPL00gringo00BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65—Yes $68K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $26—No $32K—