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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | beachboy4 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (3570–4153, n=7723) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $5.8M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (30 of 45 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1335 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 6510 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 7% of 2259) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 36% of 1122) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 1380) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 89% of 1749) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | beachboy4 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $615 | — | No $97K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $238 | — | Yes $90K | — |