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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gaditimajoseph00677BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)46% (3570–4153, n=7723)53% (10–9, n=19)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$384K$5.6M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #498PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (22 of 39 open)no open consensus position91% (150 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=1335——
Settled positions, side won46% of 6510 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 7% of 2259)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 36% of 1122)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 62% of 1380)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 1749)18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimajoseph00677BreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6K—Yes $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $238—No $114K