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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GamblingOdysseyndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (888–721, n=1609)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$739K$4.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #890PM monthly #148PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)73% (33 of 45 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won57% of 1595 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 24% of 288)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 619)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 76% of 358)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 84% of 330)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.