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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GreedoRN1joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)47% (197–223, n=420)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$36K$14.8M$5.6M-$352K
Tracked asPM monthly #225PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)57% (13 of 23 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +7 pts n=17, ROI −2%
Weakest topicCollege Football −9 pts, n=50——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won44% of 349 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 14% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 128)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 55% of 156)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 78% of 9)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.