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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gucky-450x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188ndb1
Record (consensus markets)33% (745–1518, n=2263)46% (131–154, n=285)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$166K-$6.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #346was PM monthly #715PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus67% (40 of 60 open)no open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=52College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 2% of 1883)0% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 29% of 21)42% (won 46% of 565)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 70% of 10)57% (won 51% of 766)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 75% of 4)0% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGucky-450x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $425—Yes $667K