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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HolyMoses7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (1155–998, n=2153) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $186K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (55 of 77 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (95 of 130 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy ±0 pts, n=85 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 2054 at avg 42¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 5% of 1152) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 42% of 50) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 81% of 43) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 99% of 809) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HolyMoses7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | Yes $413 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $16 | — |