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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Imbleciar | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (19–6, n=25) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #803 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 25 at avg 70¢, ROI +9% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 33% of 3) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 33% of 3) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 83% of 6) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 13) | 0% | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Imbleciar | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | — | No $252K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $9.9K | — | — | Yes $28K |