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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kamenshyk22sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)14% (202–1234, n=1436)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$37K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position63% (29 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −6 pts, n=14——
Settled positions, side won38% of 838 at avg 28¢, ROI +9%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 10% of 549)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 77% of 82)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 94% of 77)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 130)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.