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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| KasonWong | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (29–25, n=54) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $83K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 72% (72 of 100 open) | 61% (63 of 104 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 25 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 56% (won 100% of 14) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KasonWong | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Over $161 |