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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LeonDkbeachboy4sainttroplayCORGII
Record (consensus markets)57% (380–283, n=663)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$5.8M$4.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +17 pts n=18, ROI +15%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=427NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won57% of 560 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 12% of 17)3% (won 17% of 6)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 47% of 117)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢56% (won 59% of 311)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 70% of 115)14% (won 86% of 29)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.