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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | 00gringo00 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5688–4218, n=9906) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6067 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 413) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1753) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1121) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2780) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | 00gringo00 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika opposite sides · consensus Omar Jasika | Kasidit Samrej $7 | — | Omar Jasika $3.8K | — |