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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LornaPredicts | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (1063–7590, n=8653) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9K | $11.0M | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #776 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (34 of 72 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=144 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 95% (won 2% of 4189) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 28% of 65) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 50% of 42) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 79% of 110) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LornaPredicts | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $7.9K | — |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | Yes $25 | — |